Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta duration. Mostrar todas las entradas
Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta duration. Mostrar todas las entradas

miércoles, 10 de abril de 2013

Just Nine Months



Watching this excellent and short video, I heard a very interesting comment made by Rothbard. I have also seen many people in internet asking about this "nine months' quote".


He was talking about the 1920-21 Depression and in 00:55 Rothbard said: 
"[T]he recession which was very deep, it was a real depression, there was big unemployment, prices fell sharply and there was a lot of bankruptcies. Was over in nine months."
I wondered where did he get that data? So I went to Fred II and this is the excelized result:
 

There you can see the peak before the continuos falling of industrial production. Production fell nine months before it starts to recover. This is what I think Rothbard could be referring. 

Vernon[1] and Friedman-Schwartz[2] confirm that the real severe part of the contraction took place in months or a year at maximum.